Milford Haven Weekly Capability / Capacity, Jun-Oct 2022
On 9th May Ofgem published their approval of our proposed revisions to the Entry Capacity Release Methodology Statement.
This temporary provision allows us to withhold entry capacity at Milford Haven from June to October 2022, in the Rolling Monthly Trade and Transfer System Entry Capacity (RMTnTSEC) and Weekly System Entry Capacity auctions (WSEC). The rationale for this change is driven by current geopolitical situation and current market conditions, which are expected to continue driving flows in excess of historic levels and importantly in excess of the physical capability that is achievable with summer demand levels. The ECR changes do not change the capability of the NTS in any way, but seek to protect industry and end consumers from the heightened and consistent risk of constraint costs that exists due to the current climate.
We have committed to actively forecast capability and maximise capacity release at Milford Haven on a weekly basis, and to report both capability and capacity release levels ahead of each WSEC auction. We are also committed to transparency and providing this information to you on a timely basis.
The information will be provided in a table relating to each WSEC auction period, and new data will be available for capability ~3-4 days in advance, and for capacity release ~1-3 working days in advance of the WSEC auction
Bacton IP Exit NonObligated Capacity release likelihood indicator
We have committed to provide this information to the market due to the current geopolitical situation and current market conditions - this information will be continuously reviewed and updated on a weekly basis and reflects our current understanding of capability at the Bacton IP Exit point. The first forecast will be available here from 20/05/2022. From March 2023 this has not been updated and we are reviewing the need for this report. Please contact us if this is useful at [email protected]
Daily storage and LNG operator information
The information contained in this spreadsheet is published on behalf of Storage and LNG Operators under the European Regulation EC 715/2009. The data in this spreadsheet is applicable for the current gas year. Data from previous gas years can be found in the next tab.
Calculated linepack utilisation
The report below collates the hourly supply and demand flow notifications received from NTS connected sites to calculate the NTS linepack minimum value in MCM that would result from these flow profiles. Please note, connected parties update their notifications continually throughout the day; therefore, the report is accurate only at the point of publication. The report is published three times throughout the day (06:00, 12:30 and 18:30) and will reflect latest Linepack and revised supply and demand flow notifications received.